Breakeven Win Rate
The single number that decides whether a strategy makes money or slowly drains the account.
Payout
%
Your win rate
%
Account balance
$
Stake per trade
%
Trades to project
Where you sit
0%Break even 54.1%100%
Break-even win rate
54.1%
at 85% payout
Your margin
+5.9 pts
Above break even
Edge per trade
+11.00%
of your stake
Expected over 100
+$110
$10 per trade
Break-even by payout
Every payout point matters. Moving from a 75% asset to a 90% asset drops the win rate you need by about 5.1 points, which is often easier than improving your entries.
You have a real edge
You are 5.9 points above break even, which is worth roughly 5.9 extra wins per 100 trades and $1.1 of expected profit per trade at your current stake. Protect it by keeping the stake small enough to survive normal losing runs.